← heapsort-ai

Conformal Prediction

4 items

RESEARCHarXiv CS.AI·4/16/2026

Quantifying and Understanding Uncertainty in Large Reasoning Models

This research addresses the critical challenge of quantifying uncertainty in Large Reasoning Models (LRMs), noting the limitations of traditional and existing Conformal Prediction (CP) methods. It aims to develop a statistically rigorous approach that considers logical connections, interprets uncertainty origins, and disentangles reasoning quality from answer correctness.

27
RESEARCHarXiv CS.LG·4/28/2026

Conformal PM2.5 Mapping Under Spatial Covariate Shift: Satellite-Reanalysis Fusion for Africa's Green Industrial Transition

This paper introduces a satellite-reanalysis PM2.5 fusion system for air quality monitoring in Africa, employing LightGBM and conformal prediction. The system addresses challenges in geographic generalization and uncertainty quantification crucial for the continent's green industrial transition.

27