Polymarket

2 items

ARTICLEDEV.to AI·8d ago

Polymarket June 1, 2026: The $50B Inflection Point in AI Markets

By June 1, 2026, Polymarket reached $50 billion in cumulative bets, signifying a transition from retail speculation to institutional infrastructure in prediction markets. This milestone was heavily driven by the AI boom, with current odds for AI achieving AGI-level capability by year-end 2026 standing at 41%.

Prediction Markets AGI Polymarket AI markets

ARTICLEDEV.to AI·4/12/2026

The Laundering

Harvard researchers identified $143 million in anomalous profits on Polymarket, suggesting the concealment of insider trading in prediction markets. Analysis revealed that flagged traders had a nearly 70% win rate, including a case of half a million dollars profited before sensitive news.

Prediction Markets Finance research Polymarket